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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 1/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+118/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 8.8 assists per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.

Marcus Smart has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Celtics have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.

The Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year while playing on the road (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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