Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 10:33 PM UTC

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing teams have tallied 105.1 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted a massive 26.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the league).

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