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Malaki Branham

Malaki Branham Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

Malaki Branham Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 4.1 rate, Malaki Branham's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this year to 4.0 per game.

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5).

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 44.1% rate, Malaki Branham's shooting efficiency has fallen this season to 37.1%.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Malaki Branham has attempted 0.6 foul shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court (14th-least in the NBA).

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