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Malaki Branham

Malaki Branham Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Malaki Branham Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Malaki Branham slots into the 20th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malaki Branham has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year playing at home.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 44.1% rate, Malaki Branham's scoring effectiveness has declined this season to 34.6%.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 10th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.1).

The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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