Luka Doncic Steals - Player Prop Bet 6/14/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jun 14, 2024

Updated Jun 15, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has totaled 2.0 steals per game over the last 15 games, 0.5 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Luka Doncic has played 38.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.
Luka Doncic is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).

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