Luka Doncic Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · May 1, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has tallied 1.4 steals per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game away from home this year.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.
Luka Doncic should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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