Luka Doncic Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 26, 2024 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has tallied 1.4 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
Luka Doncic has played 37.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
Luka Doncic should see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

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