Luka Doncic Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has put up 1.4 steals per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent games.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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