Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has posted 9.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.8 more than he's posted in all games this season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Luka Doncic stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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