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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 7.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard in recent days.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league on the road this year.
  • The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 12.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (maintaining possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
  • Luka Doncic ought to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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