Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has averaged 9.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 90th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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