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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled 7.6 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard in recent days.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 0.6 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic figures to experience a decrease in performance across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.

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