Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 7.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 97th percentile.
Luka Doncic has played 35.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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