Luka Doncic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 2:08 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile, registering a whopping 32.4 points per game since the start of last season.
Luka Doncic has attempted 10.0 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 38.2 minutes per game since the start of last season.
In terms of offense, the Mavericks's terrific 115.2 points per game rates 10th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (13.7).
The Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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