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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has notched 32.4 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for three-point attempts while at home, compiling 10.0 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 38.2 minutes per game since the start of last season.

When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's stellar 115.1 points per game settles in as the 10th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a monstrous 8.2 foul shot attempts per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of threes, the Mavericks's feeble 33.1% rate of successful threes ranks 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pacers, making this a hard matchup.

The 7th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, struggling to draw fouls.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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