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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has logged 32.4 points per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court, tallying 9.6 per game since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 38.3 minutes per game since the start of last season.

In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.1 points per game measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 8.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic, designating this as a tough matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

The matchup against Orlando is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Orlando Magic are on the road (3rd-least in the league).

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