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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 10/29/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has put up 32.5 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has averaged 38.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 98th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering an enormous 7.4 free throw attempts per game on the road since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%).

The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Luka Doncic is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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