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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/30/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 100th percentile, tallying an enormous 32.8 points per game this year.

In contrast to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 10.5 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 37.9 minutes per game away from home this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

In comparison to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has regressed this year to 8.5 foul shot attempts per game.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line while on the road: 10th-worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 20.6 foul shots per game.

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