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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, registering a massive 34.4 points per game this year.

Compared to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 10.2 per game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks's outstanding 122.2 points per game rates 3rd-highest in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most treys per game in the league this year (3.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 9.3 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.5 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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