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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 22.0 rate, Luka Doncic's shots taken have surged this year to 24.1 per game.

In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 10.4 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.8 minutes per game while on the road this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 119.6 points per game rates 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on 3-pointers (22nd-best in the league) vs. the 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, the other team has nabbed 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 9.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (15th-least in the NBA).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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