Luka Doncic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has averaged 33.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.
Relative to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this season to 10.5 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.8 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's superb 126.8 points per game playing at home settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies are away from home, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (17.0).

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