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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, compiling an enormous 33.4 points per game this year.

Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 10.6 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%).

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.4 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 10.5 mark last year.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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