Luka Doncic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 100th percentile, logging a massive 32.3 points per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown when playing on the road, compiling 8.4 per game since the start of last season.
Luka Doncic has played 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against Toronto is a strong one; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs since the start of last season (20.6).

Favors Under

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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