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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 21.9 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers is a strong one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (18.7).
  • The Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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