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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has scored a terrific 33.7 points per game this year, significantly more than his 29.0 points per game last year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.7 shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.3 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 7.8 mark last year.

Luka Doncic has averaged 36.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been very successful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-best in the NBA this year, drawing 26.4 free throw attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for threes; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (13.3).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.1).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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