Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile for threes scored when playing away from home, tallying 4.2 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 37.5 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Mavericks's stellar 14.0 drained threes per game on the road measures as the 3rd-highest in the league since the start of last season.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on threes (6th-best in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic stands to experience a decrease in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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