Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has successfully made 37.4% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
Luka Doncic has attempted 10.7 three-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 mark last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 8.6 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Clippers, branding this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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