Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.2 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 37.1 minutes per game while on the road this year.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot 30.6% on threes (9th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a tough matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.

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