Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-142/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.2 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.2 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 37.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.4%).
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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