Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 9:09 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have surged this year to 10.4 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 37.6 minutes per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.6 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, creating a favorable matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Washington Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).