Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-190/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 10.4 per game.
Luka Doncic has averaged 37.1 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production across the board.

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