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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has successfully made a whopping 41.8% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 32.7 rate last year.
  • Compared to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this season to 9.6 per game.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 33.4 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (27.3%).
  • The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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