Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has converted 41.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Compared to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 9.8 per game.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year.
Luka Doncic has committed a measly 1.7 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 fouls per game last season.
In terms of three-point attempts, the most aggressive team in the league without the home court advantage this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production across the board.

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