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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

The Pelicans have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has attempted just 7.9 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 9.0 rate last year.

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (89th percentile).

The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; opposing teams have totaled the 7th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.1).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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