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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 7.5 three-pointers per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has made 2.6 3-point shots per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has averaged 36.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for threes; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (13.3).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

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