Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Luka Doncic has made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this season while on the road.
Luka Doncic has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when playing away from home when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Mavericks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Lakers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (30.8%).

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