Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/30/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 30, 2024

Updated May 31, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has put up a terrific 9.7 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.0 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 37.9 minutes per game away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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