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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 5/26/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged a terrific 9.7 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 8.0 assists per game last year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 38.2 minutes per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.4 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
  • The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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