Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has totaled 11.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 0.6 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic figures to experience a decrease in performance across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.

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