Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has averaged 8.2 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Luka Doncic has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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