Lindy Waters III Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2024

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Lindy Waters III

NBA · Player Props

Lindy Waters III

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 30, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Lindy Waters III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lindy Waters III has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Lindy Waters III has sunk 23.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% lower than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road.
Lindy Waters III has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.5 three-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).
Lindy Waters III has attempted 0.3 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.

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