LeBron James Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Steals

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+117/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 1.5 steals per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch.
LeBron James has played 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
LeBron James should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

LeBron James has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
The Lakers will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

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