LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.0 @ -137 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has posted 8.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.
LeBron James has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
This year, opposing teams have brought down 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).

Favors Under

LeBron James has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
LeBron James will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

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