LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 18, 2023

Updated May 19, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
LeBron James has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production across the board.

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