LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 7.2 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 98th percentile.
LeBron James has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should increase plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

On their home court, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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