LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 94th percentile for shots made while on his home court, averaging a whopping 9.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 79th percentile for 3-pointers drained playing at home, totaling 2.0 per game this year.
LeBron James has played 34.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home city, which should raise possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have compiled 15.1 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are on the road (3rd-least in the league).

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