LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 25, 2024

Updated Apr 25, 2024 10:43 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 123.4 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Denver is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three percentage in the league this year (44.8%).
The fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 21.3 mark, LeBron James's shots from the field have diminished this season to 17.9 per game.
In contrast to last season's 6.8 clip, LeBron James's 3-point attempts have tailed off this season to 5.1 per game.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.