LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:07 AM UTC

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has played 34.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
As it relates to offense, the Lakers's stellar 120.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.4).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Lakers.

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted a measly 5.1 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 6.8 rate last season.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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