LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
With respect to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.2 points per game measures as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the 76ers is a good one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 4th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (40.8%).
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
LeBron James has attempted 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted a mere 18.1 shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 21.3 rate last season.
LeBron James has attempted a lowly 5.3 shots from downtown per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.8 rate last year.
The Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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