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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has sunk 11.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled 21.1 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has attempted a mere 5.3 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.8 rate last season.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jalen Johnson has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 21st percentile).

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